Resolution and recovery

As we suggested earlier, unresolved (existing) cases (E) tend to resolve into recovery rather than death. The table below shows this clearly.  Between 28 February and 1 March, there were 79 deaths in Hubei, but 5,133 recoveries. By the same token, the apparent fatality rate also falls.

Place Date C D R E D/(D+R)
Hubei 28-Feb-20 65,914 2,682 26,403 36,829 9.22%
Hubei 29-Feb-20 66,337 2,727 28,930 34,680 8.61%
Hubei 01-Mar-20 66,907 2,761 31,536 32,610 8.05%

Note again that the percentage of cases is small compared to the population. The population of Hubei is about the same as the UK. So about 1 in 1,000 have been diagnosed with the disease since it began.  Only because of draconian isolation measures, however, which is why the impact on the economy is so severe.