News from Hunan

This may partly reassure us. Hunan (population 67m) is another province where all cases are now resolved (i.e. cases = deaths plus recoveries). See chart. Case fatality rate about 0.4%. Population fatality rate 0.000006%.

‘Partly reassure’ because UK scientific advisers are not following Chinese policy.

People have been attributing the different policy to Tory politics (‘slay them all, or most of them’). I think it’s a Kuhn thing. Senior advisers are not scientists any more, having last engaged with a peer reviewed paper perhaps 20-30 years ago. And they adhere to what seemed to work 20-30 years ago.

Thankfully a lot of scientists wrote in and pointed out this is not such a good idea. Let’s see.